The naked punter

June 24th, 2009

Hello and welcome to The Naked Punter. I aim to update this website on a regular basis with all my latest bets and thoughts of what is happening in the world of betting.

If you have any betting related service or product and would like me to review it please contact at my email address.

Selections 12th May 2010

May 12th, 2010

Had a very nice day yesterday with about 40 points profit.  Were pretty unlucky as had two big priced seconds at 33/1.

Over the week of posting theses tips I think probably about level maybe a bit up.  I was going to post them for only a week but in attempt to get us in to profit I will post them for one last time.  Good luck!

13:40 York Spectait
13:40 York Red Jade
13:40 York Changing The Guard
13:40 York Saga de Tercey
13:55 Fontwell Monty’s Moon
14:10 York Hanson’d
14:10 York She’s A Character
14:10 York Business As Usual
15:45 York Geneva Geyser
15:45 York Just Lille
15:45 York Chalice Welcome
15:45 York Cluain Alainn
16:30 Exeter One Of The Boys
16:30 Exeter Kirbys Glen
17:05 Exeter Beck’s Bolero

Selections 11th May 2010

May 11th, 2010

Had a winner yesterday at around 10/1 but was still down for the day.  Still time to get losses back and today’s selections are posted below:

14:20 Yarmouth Maryolini (-1 lost)
14:20 Yarmouth Briannsta (-1 lost)
14:20 Yarmouth Djalalabad (-1 lost)
14:50 Yarmouth Lastkingofscotland  (-1 lost)
14:50 Yarmouth Print (-1 lost)
15:20 Yarmouth Equinity (-1 lost)
15:20 Yarmouth Shadow Bay (-1 lost)
16:20 Yarmouth Pedasus (-1 lost)
16:20 Yarmouth Ernmoor (-1 lost)
16:50 Yarmouth Best In Class (-1 lost)
16:50 Yarmouth Moscow Oznick (-1 lost)
17:20 Yarmouth Lady Eclair (-1 lost)
17:20 Yarmouth Mr Plod (-1 lost)
17:20 Yarmouth Royal Premier (39.81 WON)
18:50 Southwell Bookiebasher Babe(-1 lost)
18:50 Southwell Brave Decision (-1 lost)
19:20 Southwell Southern Regent (9 WON)
19:50 Southwell Salerosa (-1 lost)
19:50 Southwell Major Phil (-1 lost)
19:50 Southwell Elusive Fame (5.83 WON)
19:50 Southwell Miss Bootylishes (-1 lost)
20:20 Southwell Royal Envoy (-1 lost)
20:20 Southwell Vogarth (-1 lost)

Selections 10th May 2010

May 10th, 2010

A bit for pushed for time today but here are the selections below.

14:30 Wolverhampton Russian Ice
14:40 Brighton Gold Rock
15:00 Wolverhampton Best One
15:30 Wolverhampton Dancing Sword
15:30 Wolverhampton Dazzling Begum
15:40 Brighton Perpetually
15:40 Brighton Resplendent Light
15:50 Redcar Seldom
15:50 Redcar Peter’s Gift
16:10 Brighton What’s Up Doc
16:10 Brighton Inspirina
16:20 Redcar Maison Dieu
16:30 Wolverhampton Babycakes
16:30 Wolverhampton Larkrise Star
16:40 Brighton Mesa Marauder
16:50 Redcar Bin Shamardal
17:00 Wolverhampton Highland River
17:00 Wolverhampton Call of Duty
17:00 Wolverhampton Darfour
17:00 Wolverhampton Anasy
17:10 Brighton For Life
17:20 Redcar All Moving Parts
17:20 Redcar Eeny Mac
17:20 Redcar Inshaallah
17:30 Wolverhampton Barbirolli
17:50 Redcar Princess Lexi

Selections 9th May 2010

May 9th, 2010

Had a few winners yesteday but was down overall.  Only two selections for today.

15:20 Worcester I’m The Decider
16:20 Worcester Battlecry

Selections 8th May 2010

May 8th, 2010

Had a few winners yesterday but was down a few points.

Will update the results later.  Today’s selections are below. There are a LOT of runners today!

14:10 Lingfield Mosqueras Romance
14:10 Lingfield Pyrrha
14:10 Lingfield Areeda
14:25 Nottingham Carlton Scroop
14:25 Nottingham Strikemaster
14:50 Ascot Alsace Lorraine
14:50 Ascot Rafiqa
14:50 Ascot Arabian Mirage
14:50 Ascot Victoria Sponge
14:55 Nottingham Wishbone
14:55 Nottingham London Gold
15:15 Hexham Janal
15:25 Ascot Flipando
15:25 Ascot Marajaa
15:25 Ascot Big Noise
15:25 Ascot Huzzah
16:05 Nottingham Look Officer
16:05 Nottingham Magic Haze
16:05 Nottingham Rascal In The Mix
16:05 Nottingham Desert Fairy
16:10 Haydock Tara Royal
16:25 Hexham Quicuyo
16:25 Hexham Ocarina
16:35 Ascot Nampour
16:35 Ascot Perfect Shot
16:35 Ascot Lombok
16:40 Nottingham Singbella
16:40 Nottingham Highland Love
16:40 Nottingham Alternative Choice
16:40 Nottingham Nesno
16:45 Haydock Elnawin
16:45 Haydock Valery Borzov
16:55 Lingfield Rakaan
16:55 Lingfield Edgewater
16:55 Lingfield Fivefold
16:55 Lingfield Alice Alleyne
16:55 Lingfield Candyfloss Girl
16:55 Lingfield Tenacestream
17:10 Ascot Secret Asset
17:10 Ascot Rulesn’regulations
17:10 Ascot Safari Mischief
17:10 Ascot Medicean Man
17:10 Ascot Pusey Street Lady
17:10 Ascot New Leyf
17:10 Ascot Tagula Night
17:15 Nottingham Secretive
17:15 Nottingham Golden Tiger
17:20 Haydock Tropical Blue
17:30 Lingfield Alqaahir
17:30 Lingfield Sam’s Cross
18:35 Thirsk Secret Witness
18:35 Thirsk Frisbee
19:05 Thirsk Amazing Blue Sky
19:05 Thirsk Hunters Belt
19:05 Thirsk Rosewin
19:05 Thirsk Brockfield
19:05 Thirsk Spahi
19:05 Thirsk Regal Lyric
19:35 Thirsk Sir George
19:35 Thirsk Glenridding
19:35 Thirsk Ubenkor
19:35 Thirsk Steel Trade
19:35 Thirsk Hits Only Jude
20:35 Thirsk Clumber Place
20:35 Thirsk Mr Lu
20:35 Thirsk Lujiana

Selections 7th May 2010

May 7th, 2010

A bit unlucky yesterday with a 2nd and a 3rd.  The second horse was beaten in a photograph.

But not to worry as only 2 points down for the week and can easily get that back in profit.  Have a lot of runners today which are listed below.

14:25 Nottingham Desert Recluse
14:25 Nottingham Lis Pendens
14:25 Nottingham Rosewood Lad
15:05 Lingfield Giulietta Da Vinci
15:05 Lingfield Tucker’s Law
15:05 Lingfield Do More Business
15:05 Lingfield Tell Halaf
15:05 Lingfield Kingsdine
15:45 Lingfield Captain Carey
16:10 Nottingham Hurlingham
16:10 Nottingham Dragon Slayer
16:10 Nottingham Film Festival
16:10 Nottingham Diamond Twister
16:20 Lingfield Piccolo Mondo
16:20 Lingfield Chadwell Spring
16:55 Lingfield Another Magic Man
16:55 Lingfield Life And Soul
17:25 Lingfield Head Down
17:25 Lingfield Saturn Way
17:25 Lingfield Buxton
17:25 Lingfield Beat Up
17:25 Lingfield Pab Special
17:25 Lingfield Sotik Star
18:55 Ripon Brierty
18:55 Ripon Discanti
19:30 Ripon Billy Dane
19:40 Aintree Charingworth
19:40 Aintree Nelson Du Ronceray
19:40 Aintree Quito Du Tresor
19:40 Aintree Drever Route
19:40 Aintree Bob’s Dream
20:30 Ripon Terenzium
20:30 Ripon San Deng

Selections 6th May 2010

May 6th, 2010

Had a better day yesterday with a couple of winners.

So after the first two days should be showing a slight profit.  There isn’t many runners today and I’ve listed them below.

15:05 Newton Abbot Sordid Secret (-1 lost)
18:05 Wincanton Hoof It Harry (-1 lost)
19:20 Wetherby The Kealshore Kid (-1 lost)

Selections 5th May 2010

May 5th, 2010

Didn’t have a winner yesterday.

But these  selections do have some long losing runs as a lot of the horses are big prices.

But they should be judged over a longer period. Here is the selections for today:

14:25    Southwell   Trans Sonic (11.16 WON)
14:25    Southwell    Just Five (-1 lost)
14:25    Southwell    Hits Only Jude (-1 lost)
14:25    Southwell    Elusive Fame (NR)
14:25    Southwell    Flores Sea (-1 lost)
14:55    Southwell    La Zamora (-1 lost)
15:30    Southwell   Tifoso (-1 lost)
16:10    Southwell    Reve De Nuit (-1 lost)
16:10    Southwell    Lang Shining (-1 lost)
16:10    Southwell    Veloso (7.00 WON)
16:20    Kelso    Rosie All Over (-1 lost)
16:20    Kelso    Reckless Venture (-1 lost)
16:45    Southwell    As Brave As You (-1 lost)

14:25 Southwell Trans Sonic
14:25 Southwell Just Five
14:25 Southwell Hits Only Jude
14:25 Southwell Elusive Fame
14:25 Southwell Flores Sea
14:55 Southwell La Zamora
15:30 Southwell Tifoso
16:10 Southwell Reve De Nuit
16:10 Southwell Lang Shining
16:10 Southwell Veloso
16:20 Kelso Rosie All Over
16:20 Kelso Reckless Venture
16:45 Southwell As Brave As You

New system

May 3rd, 2010

I have posted for a while as have been working on a few things.  Been testing a system for the last month pretty succesfully. It is a backing system.

It has a lot of filters that I won’t go in to a lot of details about.

There are more than a few filters most to do with the last run of the horses.

I will post the selections for the next week.

It is up to you wither you want to follow them.

But please don’t go mad on the stakes as the strike rate is only around 10-12% so there will be losing runs.

Here is the stats of the system below. The stats are to £1 bets and an estimated betfair sp.

The selections are actually also showing a good profit to bookmakers sp as well this year.

grab

Here is a excel file with all the system selections below.

Excel file with 2010 selections profit and loss

Please feel free to download the free bot below if you wish to use it to put on the selections

FREE betting bot

Usually I  will post the selections by lunch time on the day of racing.

Selections for Tuesday 4th May

Time    Course    Race Card No    Horse 
14:40    Newcastle    10    Lava Steps (-1 lost)
15:10    Newcastle    7    Whatyouwoodwishfor (-1 lost)
16:10    Newcastle    5    Electric City (-1 lost)
16:40    Newcastle    2    Tislaam (-1 lost)
16:40    Newcastle    6    Tell Me A Story (-1 lost)
17:10    Newcastle    6    Grand Honour (NR)
17:10    Newcastle    10    Northgate Lodge (-1 lost)
18:20    Exeter        6    Sea Saffron (-1 lost)


Grand National

April 9th, 2010

I’ve had a look at the stats for the Grand National and comes up with some interesting things.

Ideally you are wanting horses that are 9 or 10 years old as this seems the perfect age to win the race.

Also you are looking for a horse that has had a run fairly recently and this seems to filter out other selections that don’t do well.

Here are the main filters below. There are a couple of other ones like pace but these are the main ones.

Grand National filters

9 and 10 year olds
Last run < 43 days
Last run:  Cheltenham, Newcastle or Uttoxeter

If you applied the above filters over the last 5 years you would be nearly 300 points in profit to betfair prices and picked the winner 3 times.

Results for the last 5 years with above filters

grab77

Grand National selections

16:15    Mon Mome
16:15    Niche Market
16:15    Beat The Boys

Would do them all each way as big prices.